Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target

Zhou Feng; Wang Ruimin; Ma Guoyuan; Yan Xianghui

doi:10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079

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Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target

更新时间：2025-01-23

- Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target
- Journal of Refrigeration Vol. 46, Issue 1, Pages: 79-85(2025)
- 作者机构：
  
  北京工业大学制冷与低温工程系　北京　 100124
- 作者简介：
  
  Zhou Feng, male, appointed professor, Department of Refrigeration and Cryogenics Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, 86-13426312128, E-mail: zhoufeng@bjut.edu.cn. Research fields: energy utilization and environment control technology of refrigeration and air conditioning, low carbon energy saving techno-logy in data centers, energy saving technology for green buildings, phase-change heat transfer, refrigerant replacement.
- 基金信息：
  
  the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51776004)
- DOI：10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079
  CLC： TP308;TK01;X322
- Received：18 August 2023，
  
  Revised：27 November 2023，
  
  Accepted：2023-11-27，
  
  Published：16 February 2025
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
Zhou Feng, Wang Ruimin, Ma Guoyuan, et al. Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target[J]. Journal of refrigeration, 2025, 46(1): 79-85.
DOI：

Zhou Feng, Wang Ruimin, Ma Guoyuan, et al. Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target[J]. Journal of refrigeration, 2025, 46(1): 79-85. DOI： 10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079.

摘要

数据中心低碳转型减排对实现碳达峰、碳中和目标具有重要意义。对全国数据中心总体情况进行对比分析，基于中国关键年份CO

排放和强度目标，引入能效提高率、非化石能源消费占比、负排放技术强度3个变量，采用情景分析法分析数据中心CO

排放总量。研究结果表明：数据中心的耗电量逐渐增加，而碳排放量呈先增加后降低的趋势，数据中心的电能利用效率（PUE）呈逐渐下降的趋势，3种情景的碳达峰时间均为2030年，碳中和的时间分别为2059、2057、2055年。展望2060年碳中和目标，数据中心行业应进一步提高能效利用率、提高非化石能源占比、加强碳捕集与封存技术创新和提升碳汇水平。

Abstract

The low-carbon transformation of data centers is highly significant for achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. This study compared and analyzed the overall situation of data centers in China. Three variables—energy efficiency improvement rate

proportion of non-fossil energy—and negative emission technology intensity were introduced based on the CO

emission and intensity targets of China in key years

and the total CO

emissions of the data centers were projected via scenario analysis. The results demonstrated that the power consumption of the data centers increased gradually; the carbon emissions first increased and then decreased

and the power usage effectiveness (PUE) of the data centers decreased gradually. The carbon peak time of the three scenarios is 2030

and the expected times to achieve carbon neutrality are 2059

2057

and 2055 in the three scenarios. In light of the goal to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060

the data center industry should further improve the energy efficiency utilization rate

increase the proportion of non-fossil energy

strengthen the technological innovation of carbon capture and storage

and enhance the level of carbon sinks.

关键词

Keywords

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